A method for predicting crowd formation based on movement of a plurality of mobile devices is provided. The method may include collecting a plurality of location data snapshots based on the plurality of mobile devices and a plurality of cell towers. The method may include determining a plurality of device positions based on the collected plurality of location data snapshots. The method may include determining a device movement direction based on the determined plurality of device positions. The method may include determining a device velocity based on the determined plurality of device positions. The method may include identifying a mobile device subset, whereby the mobile device subset converges on a convergence area. The method may include determining if the mobile device subset converging on the convergence area exceeds a threshold value. The method may include triggering a convergence response.