An apparatus comprises a processing device configured to identify a given one of one or more assets in an information technology infrastructure associated with a support indicator associated with a priority level, and to obtain information characterizing state transitions of the one or more assets. The processing device is also configured to determine, based at least in part on a current state of the given asset identified utilizing the obtained information, a probability of the given asset transitioning to each of a plurality of states and to select, based at least in part on the determined probabilities, one of the plurality of states as a predicted future state of the given asset utilizing conformal prediction. The processing device is further configured to modify the priority level of the support indicator associated with the given asset based at least in part on the predicted future state of the given asset.