Systems and methods are provided for determining location area of mobile user devices. In a mobile device, a first area probability as a likelihood that the mobile device is located within a first area and a second area probability indicative of the mobile device being located within a second area may be determined, with the first area probability determined based on a first probability and a second probability, and the second area probability determined based on a third probability and a fourth probability. The first probability, second probability, third probability, and fourth probability are determined based on assessing strength received in the respective area from a first base station or a second base station. A determination of whether the mobile device is located in the first area or the second area is made based on the first area probability and the second area probability.