A system for estimating aerial vehicle status includes an aerial vehicle, a computing device, and a wireless communication link that communicatively couples the aerial vehicle and the computing device. The aerial vehicle includes a sensor that outputs telemetry data. The computing device includes a processor and a memory. The memory stores instructions that, when executed by the processor, cause the computing device to retrieve the telemetry data from the sensor via the wireless communication link, execute an estimation algorithm based at least in part on the telemetry data, and determine a state of the aerial vehicle based on a result of the estimation algorithm.