A computer system determines location probabilities for defined sub-areas (41, 43) of a geographical area (4), e.g. for squares arranged in a grid (40), based on field strengths expected in the small sub-areas (41, 43) from the antennas (A1, A2 A3, A4), and based on the antenna used by the mobile communication terminal. The location probabilities indicate for a sub-area (41, 43) the probability that the mobile communication terminal is located in the respective sub-area (41, 43). The computer system determines at least one ellipse defining the location area, based on the location probabilities of the sub-areas (41, 43). The location probabilities make it possible to determine elliptical location areas of mobile users much smaller than the area each antenna does cover physically, but without the need for measuring at the mobile communication terminal signal properties such as signal strength or observed time differences.